Since
I first made known my initial reaction to President Jonathan’s proposed
National Dialogue/Conference, the daggers have been out against me. The
paid public relations gangs of the administration and some sympathizers
have gone into overdrive in the media and public fora to denounce me
for the position I have taken. I thought I ought to enjoy the same right
they have exercised by supporting Jonathan’s conference to also reject
it and make my reaction known. Unfortunately it does not seem so.
But I have news for them. I will not take anything I have said back
on the proposed National Dialogue by this present administration. I
insist that the planned national dialogue is a ‘Greek’ gift and public
deception. I say beware of the Greek gift; let us first of all, ask a
series of questions.
The government’s proposal is a walk down a back alley that leads only
to a dead end. It has the same empty taste as sitting down to dine
after all the food has been eaten and the table cleared.
I intend to raise fundamental questions/interrogations in the
following response. I am known to have always reviewed the message or
policy action of government after which I simply proceed to respond to
the message and not the messenger. But this time around, my focus and
response is to the messenger and not the message essentially.
Questioning the messenger and his motives is my mission here as a
Nigerian and a political leader. Also, in warning against Jonathan’s
proposed Conference, I will put forward a few practicable suggestions.
The core questions to ask here is how credible, reliable and capable
is the current President to be able to midwife a critical conference
such as this? Will this President be sincere enough to let all the
issues that are on the agenda be exhaustively discussed at the
conference? Will this President have the guts to implement fully all
final resolutions of the conference without fear or favor or any
pandering?
This is an administration that has been known to have flip-flopped on
so many critical issues of national importance. President Jonathan was
part of two issues of national importance in the recent past; Amnesty
and the Uwais Panel on electoral reform. We all know what has happened
to these two issues. The Amnesty conceived from inception has been
corrupted and hijacked by the President’s clique. It is one of Nigeria’s
drain pipes. A slush fund for political expeditions and a conduit to
siphon money to the boys.
The Uwais Panel report gathers dust and suffers from constant cherry
picking. What about the much-publicized SURE-P initiative of this
administration? Another ill-conceived and fraudulently implemented
program of this administration. Billions of naira have so far
disappeared into private pockets and the treasury still bleeds. I can go
on and on. Is this the leader we want to trust with organizing a
National dialogue or is it conference they call it? Where is the
capability? Where is the sincerity? Where is the presence of mind?
Recent Nigerian political history bears me out in this instance.
Recall the call for a Sovereign National Conference began in earnest in
the latter phase of the political transition programme of military
president Ibrahim Babangida. Claiming that it was laying a solid
foundation for a democracy that will endure, the regime turned Nigeria
into a laboratory for all manner of political stunts.
Nigerians came to conclude that the regime was pursuing a
not-so-hidden agenda of self-perpetuation and called for a Sovereign
National conference to replace a transition programme that had clearly
lost its momentum and its direction.
Next door, in Benin Republic, a Sovereign National Conference was
being staged to chart a new course for a country that had virtually come
to a standstill. Its crisp, bold and purposeful proceedings resonated
in Nigeria, and Nigerians yearning for such a conference embraced the
Beninoise model.
The military regime seemed at a point to embrace the concept, too,
and even tried to enlist some prominent citizens to translate it into
practice. But when it appeared those citizens had taken the regime more
seriously than it took itself, the regime scuttled the idea and decreed
jail sentences for anyone purporting to stage a national conference.
Then came the presidential election debacle of June 12, 1993, and
with it, renewed calls for a Sovereign National Conference. The election
crisis swept out the military regime, but not before it had planted a
surrogate, the so-called Interim National Government, a clueless outfit
that lasted three months but drove Nigeria to the edge of ruin, until it
was overthrown by General Abacha.
To win public acceptance, Abacha promised to stage a National
Conference with “constituent powers.” This was another act of bad faith,
for Abacha packed the assembly with his hand-picked nominees. Those who
were not his nominees were products of an election that was widely
boycotted, persons who could hardly be described as authentic
representatives of their constituencies. The conference exercised
nothing close to the “constituent powers” Abacha had promised. The five
political parties that emerged from the constitutional framework
designed by the Assembly all ended up endorsing Abacha as their
presidential candidate. Abacha’s death ended the charade. Knowing that
Nigerians were no longer prepared to put up with military rule, Abacha’s
colleagues hastily put together a constitution to serve as the legal
framework for the civilian administration inaugurated in 1999.
The constitution was not published until it came into effect. It was
not debated. Those who took office swore an oath to defend a
Constitution they had not seen, and the provisions of which they did not
know.
Soon, it became clear that it was riddled with grave defects. Despite
its portentous preface, “We, the People,” it was not a people’s
constitution. The people played hardly any role in its writing. It did
not reflect their yearnings. Some legal authorities even went so far as
to call the document a forgery.
And so, demands for a Sovereign National Conference broke out afresh,
to design a new constitutional order for Nigeria, one anchored on the
core principles of federalism and warranted by the preface, “We, the
People.”
Then came the Obasanjo’s constitutional review process by the
National Assembly in the twilight of his administration. The process
came up with 118 recommendations most of which were far reaching and
dealt with critical and contentious issues of nationhood. It became
ill-fated due to the failure to smuggle in the third term tenure
extension provision. The rest, as they say, is now history.
Now, we are about to embark on a similar futile exercise. And here is
why. Until some two to three months back, our demands for a sovereign
national conference found little sympathy in the Executive and
Legislative branches of government, until some three weeks ago when
Senate President, David Mark, issued a qualified endorsement. Then, in
his National Independence Day Broadcast, President Jonathan Goodluck,
announced to everyone’s surprise that the Federal Government would
indeed sponsor a National Conference, at which Nigeria’s ethnic
nationalists would discuss and negotiate the terms of continued
association.
Within days, Dr. Jonathan named a chairman and members of a committee
to advise on modalities for staging the conference and submit a report
within one month.
I, like other well-meaning Nigerians, must welcome this shift. It is
an admission, at last, that the wide cracks in the national fabric can
no longer be papered over, and that the time has come for fresh thinking
on fundamental problems, the existence of which has for too long been
denied.
Yet, President Jonathan’s epiphany–if epiphany it is and not an
expedient calculated to enhance his 2015 reelection bid – should be
subjected to searching questions.
It is difficult to lay aside the suspicion that his sudden conversion
is all about 2015. Otherwise, why the sudden endorsement of a National
Conference, not merely in principle, but with a rush toward some form of
implementation? What has happened that was not already in play in all
those years during which the authorities rejected demands for a National
Conference?
Second, it is also difficult to lay aside the suspicion that the
government is now embracing the idea with a view to watering it down, if
not smothering it altogether. What its proponents have been canvassing
is a Sovereign National Conference organized by the sovereign people of
Nigeria, not one staged by the government. Government will figure in
that Conference only as a facilitator, not as organizer.
Many of the ethnic nationalities clamouring for a Sovereign National
Conference are contesting nothing less than the legitimacy of the
Nigerian State as presently constituted. It cannot be an answer to their
misgivings that the Federal Government, the agent of that state, is set
to take charge of a Sovereign National Conference designed to chart a
new path.
Third, Dr. Jonathan did not indicate whether the Conference will be
sovereign or exercise constituent powers. That omission is not
reassuring. What Nigerians have been demanding is a Sovereign National
Conference whose decisions can only be ratified or rejected by the
people in a national referendum. There is no room for a Government White
Paper or Blue Paper or Paper of any colour whatsoever in such a scheme.
Fourth, it must be asked whether this is an opportune moment for the
conference, when the ruling party is in disarray, a large portion of the
country is convulsed by Boko Haram violence and killings, and
permutations over a general election have already taken centre stage in
the affairs of the nation two years ahead of schedule.
Would staging a National Conference in such a setting not overheat
the polity? Would it not be better to defer the Conference until after
the general elections? There is still so much to do to ensure that the
election is free and fair, conforms to the best practices, and
represents the true will of the people.
Though I remain an unrepentant supporter of a genuine Sovereign
National Conference, I am suspicious of this present concoction because
it is half- baked and fully deceptive. Government’s sincerity is
questionable, the timing is also suspect. Now that this government is
sinking in a pool of political and economic hot water of its own making,
it seizes hold of the national conference idea as if it were a life
jacket.
This government habitually puts the wrong leg forward. In the face of
debilitating terrorist attacks by Boko Haram, kidnappings across the
country and a general insecurity, this government wants to open up
another political front by hurriedly organizing a national conference.
This rankles the brain.
This government has not the honesty, foresight, tolerance and
objectivity to hold a National Conference of any type. This government
is so partisan and parochial, it can’t even hold its own party together.
How dare it even think it can organize a national conference that lives
up to its name by being truly representative of all the nation’s
constituent parts! At most, all they can conduct is a conference
comprised of one section of their party and those shell, artificial
civil society groups that purport to reflect the public’s mind, yet do
nothing but spew government propaganda and get paid good naira for their
service. This government cannot hold a National Conference anymore than
a comatose man can stand and hold up a candle that the rest of us might
see our way to a better Nigeria.
Before embarking on new public relations ploys to whitewash its
tarnished record, the government should treat some long outstanding
issues and matters. This government cannot give what it does not have.
If the conference must be held now, we must return to the spade work
already done by the Obasanjo government in the aspect of constitutional
review. Let the Jonathan government bring it out, remove the third term
toxic component and set up a technical review committee to examine the
118 recommendations therein. We must continue from where we disagreed.
Nation building is a progressive work and to totally jettison the
considerable spade work already done is to set back the hands of the
clock. Time is not on our side.
Secondly, this government should implement the Uwais recommendations
on electoral reforms. That report was the work of imminent Nigerians and
it was done after widespread consultations to constituencies far and
wide. We all know that our electoral system is broken and unfair. If the
President has done nothing to fully implement this corrective report
that would fix a system so blatantly broken, why would he implement
recommendations of national conference if those recommendations do not
suit his narrow purposes? The government should first implement this
important work in order to demonstrate to Nigerians that it can hold and
honor the outcome of a National dialogue.
This government should do so to show that it has nothing to hide and
is willing to engage in the upcoming electoral contest on a level
playing field.
This government must first show good faith for Nigerians to believe
them. President Jonathan is not the man to give Nigerians a true
National Conference. He can only give us a “Jonathan Conference” as
bitter icing on the sour cake his government has become. This government
lacks the presence of mind and the decency to implement a national
conference.
This administration has not achieved any tangible transformation
because it has no concrete goals. Now it tilts and staggers under the
weight of insecurity. Claims of transformation and of building an
economy that is robust and institutions of democracy, by the President
shows someone who believes fiction is more important than fact and
imagination is more genuine than reality. While I would not mind such a
person to be a leading figure in our Nollywood film industry, I am
frightened that he is the chief resident in Aso Villa.
Both in timing and in style, previous administrations adopted the
same tricks of National Conference as a framework to structure their
agenda to which people presented memoranda and attended plenaries before
realising it was a trick.
This government’s offer of a National Conference is a wingless bird.
It will not fly. The advisory committee set up to design a framework and
come up with recommendations as to the form, structure and mechanism of
the process will soon find out they are on a journey with no
destination save the wall of futility.
Yes, we need to talk. However, we need a national conference that is
truly sovereign and not one dictated by the reactionary and regressive
elements of the ruling party. This is not the way to clear Nigeria from
danger. This is a selfish ploy that will place the nation deeper in
darkness and indirection.
Nigeria is adrift and unless we start a discourse aimed at updating
and improving our political economy and its structures, we might wake up
one day from a night devoid of dreams because we have turned into a
nation devoid of hope.
However, an imposed national conference by individuals who have shown
total disdain for anything nationalistic that does not unduly benefit
them and who have demonstrated lack of respect for the opinions of
others because they are in “Power” will have little success. It will be
an empty and expensive futility with no true dividends for a people
wanting their leaders to show them a way out of the pit and not a way
deeper into it.
Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu
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